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Home/Biblical and Theological/Whose Past Predicts Your Future?

Whose Past Predicts Your Future?

Our culture often insists that we are basically good people. If so, then why would we need a Savior?

Written by Peter Rosenberger | Sunday, April 5, 2026

Left to ourselves, the pattern holds. It always has. But Easter declares that we are not left to ourselves. Past behavior may predict future performance. It often does. But it is no longer the final authority. Because the One who stepped into history, took our past upon Himself, and walked out of the grave now defines the future of all who belong to Him.

 

Watching the reports out of Old Dominion University following last month’s terrorist attack, the details came in the way they always do. Confusion. Fear. Sirens. Families waiting for answers that arrive agonizingly slow.

There are no clever observations for moments like this. Only grief, a sober anger at what has been done, and a quiet respect for those who move toward danger despite the risks.

In the hours that followed, law enforcement stood before the microphones and said something familiar about the attacker.

Past behavior predicts future performance.

It was not delivered with edge or indignation. It sounded more like a sigh, the kind that comes from seeing the same pattern unfold one too many times. We all understand what that means.

But Scripture presses that diagnosis further than we often care to admit.

The Apostle Paul describes the same struggle with unsettling honesty, doing what he does not want to do and returning to what he knows he should leave behind (Romans 7). The issue is not merely what we do, but what we are by nature.

That truth lands closer to home than we might prefer. Not in acts of terror or even criminal behavior, but in patterns we cannot seem to break. The anger that resurfaces, the grudges we carry, the actions we excuse and quietly return to.

But we don’t have to watch the news to see it. We simply have to look in the mirror. As John Calvin observed, the human heart is a perpetual factory of idols.

Different in degree, certainly. Not the same in consequence.

But not unrelated.

Scripture does not blur those distinctions, but it does press deeper than behavior. And that is where the discomfort settles in. Because if this is not just “out there,” then we are not merely observers of the pattern.

It is one thing to recognize the pattern in others.

It is another to consider whether it runs through us as well.

That is a harder place to stay.

Because if it does, then the problem is not occasional. It is continual. Not just in headlines, but in hearts.

Our culture often insists that we are basically good people.

If so, then why would we need a Savior?

If not, then what are the implications?

The men who framed this country wrestled with that reality. They did not build a system on the assumption that people would consistently do what is right. They built one that restrains what is wrong, because they understood that what resides in the human heart eventually shows up in human systems.

Which raises a harder question than any press conference can answer.

What breaks the pattern?

History suggests we do not. We adjust, we regulate, we respond, and all of that has its place. But none of it reaches far enough to change what drives the pattern in the first place.

This is where Easter speaks. Not as sentiment. Not as tradition. But as a claim.

Not that people try harder or gradually become better versions of themselves. Left to ourselves, we cannot change. We must be changed.

The gospel does not offer a refined version of our past. It replaces it. Not my record, but His. Not a cleaned-up life, but a different standing altogether.

What Scripture calls sin is not managed at the cross. It is judged. And what we could not produce is given. Righteousness, not earned, but credited.

That is why the resurrection matters.

Because death has always been the final confirmation that the pattern holds. It is where every life, left to itself, arrives. But if death itself is overturned, then the pattern it confirms is no longer absolute.

Something has interrupted it.

The Apostle Paul captured it in a single phrase:

“And such were some of you” (1 Corinthians 6:11).

Were.

That word does not describe improvement. It describes transformation.

Left to ourselves, the pattern holds. It always has.

But Easter declares that we are not left to ourselves.

Past behavior may predict future performance. It often does.

But it is no longer the final authority.

Because the One who stepped into history, took our past upon Himself, and walked out of the grave now defines the future of all who belong to Him.

Not a second chance.

Not a fresh start.

A new standing.

Not my record, but His.

And that changes everything.

Peter Rosenberger hosts the nationally syndicated radio program, Hope for the Caregiver. He’s published four books, and his most recent is A MINUTE FOR CAREGIVERS – When Every Day Feels Like Monday. PeterRosenberger.com | @hope4caregiver

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